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Qual 12009 Curie Division
Red48
116518.9
310516.1
281525.7
Blue28
167517.2
6015.6
192714.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535502040801001201401604828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#11
25.70.3
21.7→21.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.5
1675
#85
17.21.3
20.1→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1165
#20
18.90.3
18.1→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
60
#43
15.61.3
17.8→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3105
#66
16.10.3
13.3→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
1927
#75
14.51.5
16.8→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—