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Qual 312009 Curie Division
Red104
311523.6
280922.5
24532.3
Blue50
281525.7
110817.3
33725.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069405060809010010450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#29
32.31.7
31.6→33.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
337
#40
25.71.0
28.2→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3115
#26Sur
23.61.7
19.4→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
2815
#11
25.71.0
22.4→21.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2809
#10
22.52.1
18.4→20.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
1108
#80
17.31.0
19.5→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—