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Red60
39533.2
218517.8
252011.7
Blue92
32920.4
142523.4
116518.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5757304050607080906092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#54
33.20.2
31.231.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
1425
#70
23.41.7
24.726.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2185
#49
17.80.2
14.214.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
329
#63
20.41.7
15.016.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2520
#82
11.70.2
11.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
1165
#20
18.91.9
18.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End