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Red65
18837.2
279121.7
152716.0
Blue100
219422.7
151928.3
53817.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726420408010012065100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#9
37.20.3
36.035.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1519
#13
28.31.9
25.527.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2791
#39
21.70.3
19.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2194
#25
22.71.9
22.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1527
#71
16.00.3
15.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
538
#83
17.41.7
17.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End