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Red71
218517.8
192714.5
283427.5
Blue85
27125.3
4918.5
33725.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51680204060801001201407185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#23
27.50.9
25.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
337
#40
25.71.0
25.326.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2185
#49
17.80.9
15.116.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
271
#14
25.31.0
24.625.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1927
#75
14.50.9
13.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
49
#16
18.51.0
15.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End