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Red70
109920.9
152716.0
37531.8
Blue100
162233.5
280922.5
34124.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6084204010012014016070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
#5
31.80.4
31.231.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1622
#47
33.51.0
35.336.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1099
#79
20.90.4
17.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
341
#30
24.91.0
24.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1527
#71
16.00.3
14.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
2809
#10
22.51.0
21.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End