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Red78
7934.7
299229.4
108912.5
Blue86
279121.7
128819.9
281525.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775720401001207886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#68
34.70.2
35.135.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
2815
#11
25.71.3
22.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2992
#24
29.40.2
27.828.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
2791
#39
21.71.3
18.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1089
#86
12.50.2
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1288
#52
19.91.3
18.619.9
Auto
Teleop
End