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Red82
152215.6
12222.8
237726.8
Blue24
187215.6
35714.1
18496.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801008224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
Unranked
26.82.7
17.920.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
1872
Unranked
15.61.8
17.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
122
Unranked
22.82.7
17.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
357
Unranked
14.11.8
17.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1522
Unranked
15.62.7
15.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1849
Unranked
6.21.8
10.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End