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Red0
36528.3
190014.8
111115.5
Blue42
76819.1
70911.3
53816.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574502080100042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
28.34.6
21.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
768
Unranked
19.10.3
19.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
Unranked
15.54.6
18.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
538
Unranked
16.60.3
13.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1900
Unranked
14.84.6
15.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
709
Unranked
11.30.3
12.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End