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Qual 242009 Washington DC Regional
Red86
172716.5
219929.4
61417.1
Blue38
18496.2
169912.9
141815.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5539020801001208638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
Unranked
29.42.8
19.2→22.0
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red by 13.8
1418
Unranked
15.60.2
15.9→15.7
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Second
614
Unranked
17.12.8
18.5→21.2
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red by 4.2
1699
Unranked
12.90.2
15.8→15.6
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Third
1727
Unranked
16.52.8
15.2→17.9
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Teleop—
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red by 10.3
1849
Unranked
6.20.2
8.9→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—