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Red32
58714.4
174813.2
188510.3
Blue58
33919.1
718.6
190014.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433901020305060703258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
Unranked
14.40.9
17.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
339
Unranked
19.11.5
13.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1748
Unranked
13.20.9
13.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
7
Unranked
18.61.5
15.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1885
Unranked
10.30.9
11.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1900
Unranked
14.81.5
10.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End