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Red18
62316.5
290012.8
242114.4
Blue132
173121.2
237726.8
36528.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38640208010012014018132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
Unranked
16.52.0
13.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
365
Unranked
28.35.9
20.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2421
Unranked
14.42.0
14.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
2377
Unranked
26.85.9
21.527.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2900
Unranked
12.82.0
13.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
1731
Unranked
21.25.9
19.025.0
Auto
Teleop
End