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Red36
12222.8
281917.6
62019.7
Blue38
127919.7
4532.6
61111.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4462020801001201403638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
22.80.9
18.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
45
Unranked
32.61.8
25.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
620
Unranked
19.70.9
14.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1279
Unranked
19.71.8
19.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2819
Unranked
17.60.9
13.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
611
Unranked
11.71.8
14.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End