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Red48
272914.2
291417.6
53816.6
Blue34
174813.2
291210.2
242114.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38410501001504834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
Unranked
17.64.3
17.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2421
Unranked
14.40.6
14.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
538
Unranked
16.60.8
13.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1748
Unranked
13.20.6
13.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2729
Unranked
14.29.1
22.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2912
Unranked
10.21.8
10.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End