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Red113
281917.6
219929.4
59721.1
Blue18
188510.3
70911.3
152215.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56400208010012011318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
Unranked
29.45.0
23.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
1522
Unranked
15.62.0
17.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
597
Unranked
21.15.0
17.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
709
Unranked
11.32.0
11.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2819
Unranked
17.65.0
12.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1885
Unranked
10.32.0
12.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End