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Red59
35714.1
291316.1
127919.7
Blue42
83621.8
296212.7
190014.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48472030406070805942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
Unranked
19.71.0
17.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
836
Unranked
21.80.5
20.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2913
Unranked
16.11.0
14.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1900
Unranked
14.80.5
15.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
357
Unranked
14.11.0
14.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2962
Unranked
12.70.5
12.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End