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Red56
112313.2
304616.2
5314.8
Blue36
44914.7
188510.3
137014.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140203050605636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3046
Unranked
16.21.3
15.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
449
Unranked
14.70.4
14.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53
Unranked
14.81.3
12.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1370
Unranked
14.40.4
16.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1123
Unranked
13.21.3
12.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1885
Unranked
10.30.4
10.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End