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Red40
173121.2
34615.8
127919.7
Blue57
44914.7
33919.1
111115.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6343020801001204057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
Unranked
21.21.7
23.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
339
Unranked
19.11.0
18.119.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1279
Unranked
19.71.7
18.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1111
Unranked
15.51.0
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
346
Unranked
15.81.7
18.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
449
Unranked
14.71.0
13.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End