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Red40
33919.1
141815.6
291112.5
Blue32
35714.1
112313.2
281917.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474302060804032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
Unranked
19.10.5
16.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2819
Unranked
17.65.9
17.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1418
Unranked
15.60.5
17.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
357
Unranked
14.10.9
18.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2911
Unranked
12.50.5
12.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1123
Unranked
13.20.9
12.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End