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Red54
26768.6
12327.2
204815.6
Blue58
306915.4
51911.6
121324.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484202060801005458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#14
27.20.3
22.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1213
#12
24.81.3
17.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2048
#30
15.60.5
13.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3069
#25
15.41.3
12.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#36
8.60.5
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
519
#34
11.61.3
12.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End