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Red36
2408.3
51911.6
57319.7
Blue24
12327.2
285120.9
306915.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4653204060803624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#11
19.70.9
19.718.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
123
#14
27.21.4
22.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
519
#34
11.60.9
14.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
2851
#26
20.92.3
15.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
240
#29
8.30.9
12.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
3069
#25
15.42.3
13.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End