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Red48
26768.6
194112.6
40612.5
Blue86
57319.7
262716.4
9038.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385002060804886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1941
#33
12.60.7
14.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
573
#11
19.73.2
17.921.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
406
#32
12.50.7
11.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2627
#13
16.41.9
15.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#36
8.60.7
14.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
903
#35
8.73.2
14.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End