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Red36
51515.9
267312.0
51911.6
Blue53
300214.6
45319.1
194112.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37431020305060703653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
515
#15
15.90.1
15.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
453
#5
19.10.8
17.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2673
#20
12.00.1
12.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3002
#16
14.60.6
12.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
519
#34
11.60.1
10.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1941
#33
12.60.6
12.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End