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Red30
300212.4
152815.5
20126.1
Blue40
283419.9
51911.4
160214.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6039020801001203040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#2
26.11.3
23.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2834
#13
19.90.1
16.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1528
#27
15.51.3
20.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1602
#34
14.60.2
12.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3002
#39
12.41.3
13.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
519
#10
11.40.1
13.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End