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Red75
311514.6
83526.2
102523.9
Blue93
309617.8
54822.4
300212.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6240020801001207593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#11
26.20.8
26.026.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
548
#20
22.42.5
18.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.90.8
20.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3096
#18
17.82.5
12.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
#37
14.60.8
12.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3002
#39
12.42.5
11.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End