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Red58
83526.2
261222.1
51911.4
Blue40
204814.4
118919.5
81513.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6142020801001205840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#11
26.20.0
26.826.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
19.50.2
17.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2612
#15
22.10.0
19.219.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
2048
#30
14.40.2
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
519
#10
11.40.0
12.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
815
#31
13.60.4
13.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End