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Red52
296014.8
160214.6
81513.6
Blue18
40613.6
102523.9
20508.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394802060801005218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#19
14.81.0
14.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
23.91.5
23.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1602
#34
14.60.8
11.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
406
#35
13.61.5
15.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
#31
13.60.9
14.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
2050
#40
8.11.5
8.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End