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Red81
190219.7
215216.3
139015.4
Blue46
42524.3
10819.7
102910.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46472030406070808146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#25
19.72.9
16.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
425
#29
24.30.0
18.718.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2152
#17
16.32.9
13.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
108
#30
19.70.0
19.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1390
#51
15.42.9
16.219.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1029
#49
10.60.0
8.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End