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Red56
134513.2
16168.7
288412.3
Blue52
192214.5
152312.6
2115.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3945102030506070805652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1345
#33
13.21.3
15.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
21
#47
15.10.7
14.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2884
#36
12.31.3
14.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1922
#38
14.50.4
14.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1616
#31
8.70.8
9.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1523
#35
12.60.7
15.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End