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Red120
202314.8
7931.6
74424.1
Blue36
128412.4
256419.3
23824.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6560020408010012014016012036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#6
31.64.7
27.632.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
238
#16
24.41.2
25.924.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
744
#4
24.14.7
24.429.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2564
#12
19.32.1
20.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2023
#40
14.84.7
12.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1284
#50
12.42.1
14.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End