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Red76
200720.2
5723.5
184820.1
Blue63
178813.4
187714.0
199915.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49330204060801001207663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
Unranked
23.52.4
14.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1999
Unranked
15.22.3
12.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2007
Unranked
20.22.4
15.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1877
Unranked
14.02.3
13.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1848
Unranked
20.12.4
16.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1788
Unranked
13.42.3
8.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End