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Red40
168316.2
100216.1
265515.5
Blue22
58714.5
295814.9
11279.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40411020305060704022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
Unranked
16.20.1
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2958
Unranked
14.93.9
14.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
Unranked
16.10.1
13.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
587
Unranked
14.51.5
14.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2655
Unranked
15.50.1
12.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1127
Unranked
9.61.6
13.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End