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Red46
139810.1
141416.8
90012.5
Blue64
131111.8
179519.8
241519.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424320305060704664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
Unranked
16.80.3
15.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1795
Unranked
19.81.8
16.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
900
Unranked
12.50.3
13.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2415
Unranked
19.41.8
13.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
Unranked
10.10.3
13.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1311
Unranked
11.81.8
12.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End