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Red102
28116.3
296719.6
110223.2
Blue52
168316.2
236213.7
200720.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5551020408010012014016010252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
Unranked
23.24.0
21.125.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2007
Unranked
20.20.0
20.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2967
Unranked
19.64.0
16.220.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1683
Unranked
16.20.0
15.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
281
Unranked
16.34.0
17.021.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2362
Unranked
13.70.0
15.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End