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Red48
139810.1
200720.2
34325.7
Blue54
130416.4
175821.5
100216.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6650204060801001204854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
25.71.3
28.126.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1758
Unranked
21.50.2
19.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2007
Unranked
20.21.3
21.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1304
Unranked
16.40.2
16.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
Unranked
10.11.3
14.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
1002
Unranked
16.10.2
16.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End