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Red58
239311.7
288717.8
168316.2
Blue76
44221.5
178813.4
34325.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36662060801001205876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2887
Unranked
17.81.4
16.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
343
Unranked
25.71.1
26.827.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
Unranked
16.21.4
14.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
442
Unranked
21.51.1
20.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2393
Unranked
11.71.4
10.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1788
Unranked
13.41.2
14.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End