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Red30
297413.8
110223.2
5479.7
Blue46
153320.9
141511.7
131111.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53450204060801001203046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
Unranked
23.21.7
24.422.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1533
Unranked
20.90.0
22.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2974
Unranked
13.81.7
16.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1311
Unranked
11.80.0
11.111.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
547
Unranked
9.71.7
11.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1415
Unranked
11.70.0
13.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End