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Red28
199915.2
143912.2
297413.8
Blue42
175821.5
90012.5
28116.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44542060801002842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1999
Unranked
15.21.3
16.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1758
Unranked
21.50.8
22.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2974
Unranked
13.81.2
15.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
281
Unranked
16.30.8
17.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1439
Unranked
12.21.2
13.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
900
Unranked
12.50.8
13.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End