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Red48
179519.8
309118.2
203815.9
Blue0
131111.8
3420.3
178813.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39430206080100120480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1795
Unranked
19.80.7
13.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
34
Unranked
20.33.5
16.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3091
Unranked
18.23.5
16.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1788
Unranked
13.43.5
12.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2038
Unranked
15.90.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1311
Unranked
11.83.5
13.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End