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Red70
241519.4
265515.5
83221.5
Blue68
58714.5
211918.9
110223.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525830407080907068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
Unranked
21.50.4
20.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1102
Unranked
23.20.2
23.323.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
Unranked
19.40.4
18.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2119
Unranked
18.90.2
19.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2655
Unranked
15.50.4
14.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
587
Unranked
14.50.2
14.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End