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Red64
263817.5
97128.4
305916.9
Blue68
293619.7
183618.7
15129.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59542040801006468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#66
28.40.4
27.527.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
151
#13
29.10.9
26.227.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2638
#80
17.50.3
16.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
2936
#32
19.70.8
17.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3059
#36
16.90.4
14.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1836
#23
18.70.9
11.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End