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Red57
257915.7
147726.3
145017.9
Blue78
305916.9
171022.2
105812.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584120801005778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#50
26.30.1
25.825.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1710
#44
22.21.9
17.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1450
#21
17.90.1
15.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3059
#36
16.91.9
15.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2579
#33
15.70.1
14.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1058
#71
12.31.7
10.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End