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Red109
99916.8
70820.8
6747.1
Blue88
11529.1
155118.4
74429.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86672040608010012014010988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#4
47.11.3
48.449.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
744
#62
29.71.0
26.127.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
708
#3
20.81.3
20.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
115
#43
29.10.9
27.228.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#47
16.81.3
15.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1551
#67
18.40.9
16.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End