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Red58
49420.4
178313.3
261914.7
Blue20
31414.6
6521.8
4915.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455402060801005820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#21
20.41.0
17.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
65
#27
21.82.7
23.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2619
#31
14.70.6
14.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
49
#30
15.91.6
12.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1783
#32
13.30.6
13.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
314
#19
14.61.6
17.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End