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Quarterfinal 2-12009 Michigan FIRST Robotics Competition State Championship
Red80
70325.0
46932.5
91033.8
Blue124
125031.9
28027.4
50327.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9583406012014016080124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#4
33.80.2
34.5→34.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
1250
#7
31.90.7
31.1→31.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
469
#5
32.50.2
33.2→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
503
#20
27.60.7
26.8→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
703
#22
25.00.2
25.7→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
280
#54
27.40.7
26.6→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—