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Quarterfinal 2-22009 Michigan FIRST Robotics Competition State Championship
Red64
70325.0
91033.8
46932.5
Blue100
125031.9
28027.4
50327.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9485406010012014016064100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#4
33.80.5
34.3→33.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
1250
#7
31.90.2
31.7→31.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
469
#5
32.50.5
33.0→32.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
503
#20
27.60.2
27.4→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
703
#22
25.00.5
25.4→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
280
#54
27.40.2
27.3→27.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—