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Red85
262024.4
118822.3
218816.2
Blue50
81516.5
54822.9
45318.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53510204060808550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.41.6
19.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
548
#13
22.90.0
18.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1188
#32
22.31.6
22.023.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
453
#17
18.50.0
15.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
16.21.6
11.713.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
815
#41
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End