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Red104
20129.2
46932.5
6516.9
Blue54
261918.6
24531.5
51514.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7962204010012014010454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#5
32.51.4
30.231.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
245
#29
31.50.5
33.232.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
#8
29.21.4
26.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2619
#45
18.60.5
14.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
65
#53
16.91.4
20.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
515
#60
14.80.5
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End