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Red70
137916.1
322411.9
83223.7
Blue14
14157.4
131920.5
13118.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5742020801007014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
Unranked
23.70.7
25.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1319
Unranked
20.51.5
23.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
Unranked
16.10.7
15.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1311
Unranked
8.91.5
12.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3224
Unranked
11.91.2
13.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1415
Unranked
7.41.5
7.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End