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Red40
177134.0
137916.1
322411.9
Blue58
126118.4
14157.4
131920.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6538020801004058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
Unranked
34.01.1
32.931.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
1319
Unranked
20.50.8
20.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
Unranked
16.11.1
15.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1261
Unranked
18.40.8
16.016.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3224
Unranked
11.91.5
13.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1415
Unranked
7.40.8
5.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End